Despite China, Baahubali 2 to emerge winner over Dangal at the box office
Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Much is being made about Aamir Khan's Dangal's collections in China putting it in the same class as Prabhas' Baahubali The Conclusion. To some extent it is justified as Dangal is said to end up receiving $150 million from China. However it is worth noting that unlike Baahubali, the Aamir Khan starrer is not going to be top grosser of any country and nearly half of Dangal's worldwide gross is going to actually come from China where Dangal's China box office givings are reportedly higher than its actual all India figures; improbable to say the least. This brings the 2nd issue in light, which is the components and relevance of worldwide gross. Baahubali 2 hasn't released in China yet but they have both released in India and there the gap between Baahubali 2 and Dangal is nearly 3:1. Almost 3 times as many people have seen Baahubali as have seen Dangal. The grosses reported from China include different fees which are not counted in India or other parts of the world so the grosses are not comparable. More importantly, the average ticket price in China is much higher than the average ticket prices in India, and also the box office share Chinese allow Aamir Khan or other producers to receive off the reported grosses are also paltry. So regardless of gross amounts from China, neither the crowdsizes nor the box office returns are going to compensate for Dangal being behind Baahubali's margins across India.

In rest of the world where there is some visibility and where both Baahubali 2 and Dangal both have released now, it's been a nearly total domination by Baahubali over Dangal. As mentioned, across India, north to south, Baahubali is already ahead of Dangal by nearly triple the margin and may finish ahead by a thousand crores or so. Baahubali 2 is also ahead in USA (all versions) over Dangal's all versions, Baahubali 2 is ahead in Australia, it's ahead in New Zealand, even in UAE.

In Pakistan and China Dangal is ahead. Baahubali 2 hasn't yet released in China. Infact it hasn't released yet in several world markets.

Pakistan's collections hardly matter but China has thrown a big number for Dangal. Nonetheless, India has thrown a bigger number for Baahubali. Rest of the world, Baahubali leads. And there are talks of dubbing and marketing Baahubali in proper English now for release in the regular English theaters in USA, UK, and Western Europe for release for the mainstream western audiences as well. If that happens, the 2000 crores that Baahubali is chasing right now will look like a small figure in few months.

So when it's all said and done and both films have played out their runs, it's pretty certain that Baahubali 2 will be eventual winner over Dangal in most of the world, no matter how it does in China.

Beyond that, it is worth keeping in mind India is the best place to compare 2 Indian films. And Baahubali 2's all India national record is such that, it is bound to finish at a box office figure that will stand for years with no hope of Dangal or any Bollywood film touching it in the near future.


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